0x839acdf581ff1bbbb57b5665cc318165a58ec789
- Realised P&L
- $0.11
- Volume
- $20.81
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $8.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.735 | $1.71 | +$0.71 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.929 | $1.31 | +$0.31 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No | 0.660 | 0.840 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.665 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · No | 0.590 | 0.630 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.675 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No | 0.210 | 0.145 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.500Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
- +$-0.00at 0.502Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
- +$-1.00at 0.510Will Trump say "Hell" during his Executive Order signing?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:54 | Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 08:35 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 00:34 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 16:33 | Will Trump say "Hell" during his Executive Order signing? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 08:27 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 20:28 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 02:13 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 17:12 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 01:59 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 17:20 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5019999699 | $1.00 |