PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

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Traders

0x839acdf581ff1bbbb57b5665cc318165a58ec789

Realised P&L
$0.11
Volume
$20.81
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$8.16

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.4300.735$1.71+$0.71
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.7100.929$1.31+$0.31
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.6600.840$1.27+$0.27
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6200.665$1.07+$0.07
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · No0.5900.630$1.07+$0.07
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.6500.675$1.04+$0.04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No0.2100.145$0.69$0.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 16:54Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
08-04 08:35Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
08-04 00:34Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.65$1.00
08-03 16:33Will Trump say "Hell" during his Executive Order signing?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
08-03 08:27Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.7099999432$1.00
08-02 20:28Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
08-02 02:13US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.429999828$1.00
08-01 17:12Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.66$1.00
08-01 01:59Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.00
07-31 17:20Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.5019999699$1.00