0x839152319b8B614C6Fcfe674C369F3A739b42388-1761649163095
0x839152319b8b614c6fcfe674c369f3a739b42388
- Realised P&L
- $672.06
- Volume
- $11.8k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $14.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)67.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.740 | $14.80 | −$0.20 |
| Grizzlies vs. Hornets · Grizzlies | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.00 |
| Nets vs. Pistons · Pistons | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$115.70 |
| Spurs vs. Heat · Heat | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$85.00 |
| Cavaliers vs. Bulls · Bulls | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.20 |
| Nets vs. Hawks · Nets | 0.109 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.99 |
| Cavaliers vs. Mavericks · Mavericks | 0.159 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.39 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Pacers · Pacers | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.00 |
| Hawks vs. Cavaliers · Hawks | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$415.81 |
| Mavericks vs. Hawks · Mavericks | 0.239 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.24 |
| Nuggets vs. Suns · Suns | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$102.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$436.80at 0.520Heat vs. Raptors
- +$191.40at 0.340Rockets vs. Lakers
- +$171.60at 0.560Timberwolves vs. 76ers
- +$155.00at 0.500Celtics vs. Hornets
- +$140.30at 0.390Bulls vs. Grizzlies
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 06:26 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $6.61 |
| 06-30 09:18 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 06-30 09:07 | Will Matthew "Bronco" Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election? | SELL | 0.7366019417 | $15.17 |
| 05-28 08:06 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.994 | $32.80 |
| 04-18 08:58 | Rockets vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.34 | $94.70 |
| 04-08 09:40 | Hawks vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.48 | $409.22 |
| 04-07 09:02 | Heat vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.52 | $459.57 |
| 04-06 09:40 | Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.91 | $588.31 |
| 04-03 08:49 | Timberwolves vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.56 | $212.63 |
| 04-02 08:51 | Timberwolves vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.6 | $193.25 |
| 03-31 09:07 | Raptors vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.57 | $122.16 |
| 03-29 13:20 | Celtics vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.5 | $155.00 |
| 03-28 08:44 | Bulls vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.39 | $89.70 |
| 03-24 09:04 | Nuggets vs. Suns | BUY | 0.34 | $102.00 |
| 03-23 09:21 | Spurs vs. Heat | BUY | 0.34 | $85.00 |