0x837F3eF972F2cE7bCE25616691fEad5c5bD07f46-1779887811855
0x837f3ef972f2ce7bce25616691fead5c5bd07f46
- Realised P&L
- $-35.26
- Volume
- $387.10
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $9.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.57at 0.560Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
- +$1.13at 0.470Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in June?
- +$0.89at 0.530Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
- +$0.60at 0.480Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?
- +$0.39at 0.720Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 15:29 | Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 06-20 21:22 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 17:07 | Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30? | BUY | 0.0729999872 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 16:43 | Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30? | BUY | 0.0729999331 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 16:41 | Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 06-10 16:38 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 16:37 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.08 |
| 06-10 16:36 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 13:22 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? | BUY | 0.2579998746 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 13:16 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 06-06 14:15 | Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30? | BUY | 0.0909999255 | $1.00 |
| 06-06 14:14 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.119999952 | $2.00 |
| 06-06 14:11 | Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30? | BUY | 0.0903236917 | $8.00 |
| 06-05 17:41 | Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30? | BUY | 0.1797251501 | $3.27 |
| 06-05 02:18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |