SwartTera
0x8370b0dd9af6df6da34355dab4e5fb5eadcbe1ef
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $154.1k
- Markets traded
- 445
- Open portfolio
- $224.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded445
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$429.39at 0.140Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12?
- +$315.34at 0.367Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11?
- +$296.11at 0.217Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 10?
- +$286.52at 0.425Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?
- +$247.98at 0.340Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 11:47 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 08-07 11:38 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.19 | $13.30 |
| 08-07 11:38 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.09 | $6.30 |
| 08-07 11:36 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.39 | $28.47 |
| 08-07 11:36 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.08 | $4.80 |
| 08-07 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.3213333333 | $19.28 |
| 08-07 11:28 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.588020292 | $23.76 |
| 08-07 11:27 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 8? | SELL | 0.0307 | $3.07 |
| 08-07 11:27 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 8? | SELL | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 08-07 11:22 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.482 | $24.10 |
| 08-07 11:22 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.181 | $9.05 |
| 08-07 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 08-07 08:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 18:12 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.97 |
| 08-06 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.991 | $9.91 |