0xfb798C010F56B35cFC2C5D85F6cE6DFd93446540-1769480021194
0x83518c28f91958ae0e913c2f789c50e4c3d96543
- Realised P&L
- $-20.37
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $6.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Friday roundtable? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.065 | $6.50 | +$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.34at 0.150Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
- +$6.70at 0.230Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
- +$0.79at 0.710Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
- +$-1.00at 0.030Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
- +$-1.86at 0.060Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 06:29 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Friday roundtable? | BUY | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 08-06 06:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 05:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 05:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999857 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 05:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET | BUY | 0.34999993 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 05:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 05:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 04:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 04:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 04:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 04:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 03:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.06 | $1.86 |
| 08-06 03:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | BUY | 0.0416666667 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 03:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 03:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $2.78 |