XVV
0x831f290f969cee11cfb455e84f63d7fc962ae09c
- Realised P&L
- $-7.01
- Volume
- $20.8k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $151.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $57.55 | +$0.03 |
| Will XRP reach $1.70 August 3-9? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $48.62 | −$0.17 |
| Will Solana reach $160 in August? · No | 0.998 | 0.995 | $44.86 | −$0.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.45at 0.997Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$0.38at 0.990Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
- +$0.30at 0.997Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
- +$0.22at 0.997Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
- +$0.15at 0.999Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 14:37 | Will XRP reach $1.70 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.999 | $48.79 |
| 08-05 14:37 | Will Solana reach $160 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $45.00 |
| 08-05 14:36 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $57.52 |
| 07-06 14:27 | Will the price of Solana be above $130 on July 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.37 |
| 07-06 14:26 | Will XRP reach $1.60 July 6-12? | BUY | 0.998 | $41.00 |
| 07-06 14:26 | Will Solana reach $140 July 6-12? | BUY | 0.999 | $42.08 |
| 07-06 14:25 | Will BNB reach $900 in July? | BUY | 0.996 | $31.59 |
| 06-05 15:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 June 1-7? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.04 |
| 06-05 15:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9969999967 | $99.00 |
| 06-05 15:06 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.70 |
| 05-08 07:07 | Will XRP reach $1.90 May 4-10? | BUY | 0.999 | $78.47 |
| 05-08 07:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $71.93 |
| 04-13 11:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $28.40 |
| 04-13 11:46 | Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on April 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.99 |
| 04-13 11:46 | Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on April 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.89 |