Syaiu1542466
0x82cf10b9f043fa8ddf0e5b6958fe31c9c3f83d55
- Realised P&L
- $8.5k
- Volume
- $1.60M
- Markets traded
- 2,012
- Open portfolio
- $7.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,012
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orix Buffaloes vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles · Orix Buffaloes | 0.986 | 0.985 | $5.0k | −$4.83 |
| Yokohama BayStars vs. Hanshin Tigers · Yokohama BayStars | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.2k | +$0.61 |
| Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Nippon Ham Fighters · Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | 0.999 | 0.995 | $497.50 | −$2.00 |
| Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants · Yomiuri Giants | 0.998 | 1.000 | $429.77 | +$0.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.200Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?
- +$2.1kat 0.204Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.0kat 0.990Hiroshima Carp vs. Chunichi Dragons
- +$1.4kat 0.174Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.3kat 0.380Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 12:09 | Yokohama BayStars vs. Hanshin Tigers | BUY | 0.999 | $1.2k |
| 08-05 12:07 | Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Nippon Ham Fighters | BUY | 0.999 | $68.68 |
| 08-05 12:05 | Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants | BUY | 0.996162394 | $196.23 |
| 08-04 13:15 | Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants | BUY | 0.9821100917 | $107.05 |
| 08-04 13:14 | Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants | BUY | 0.82504 | $412.52 |
| 08-04 13:14 | Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants | BUY | 0.86488 | $432.44 |
| 08-04 13:14 | Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants | BUY | 0.70232 | $351.16 |
| 08-04 13:14 | Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants | BUY | 0.68678 | $343.39 |
| 08-04 13:14 | Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants | BUY | 0.66864 | $334.32 |
| 08-04 13:14 | Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants | BUY | 0.59 | $295.00 |
| 08-03 12:36 | Orix Buffaloes vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 08-03 12:34 | Orix Buffaloes vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles | BUY | 0.9817081851 | $275.86 |
| 08-03 12:34 | Orix Buffaloes vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles | BUY | 0.97294 | $486.47 |
| 08-03 12:34 | Orix Buffaloes vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles | BUY | 0.91692 | $458.46 |
| 08-03 11:44 | Orix Buffaloes vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles | SELL | 0.5578827362 | $513.81 |