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Traders

ArienNasr

0x82c94c218d9c102fbe58b92f7c7c920a6b4736fc

Realised P&L
$-10.0k
Volume
$456.3k
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$99.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? · Yes0.4600.400$80.40$12.06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026? · Yes0.3000.270$18.90$2.10
Israel closes its airspace by June 14? · Yes0.1070.000$0.00$107.00
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$140.14
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00$53.60
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15? · No0.7400.000$0.00$199.05
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$145.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00$75.80
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$156.38
Israel closes its airspace by June 9? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$4.55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.4430.000$0.00$4.1k
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31? · No0.3810.000$0.00$12.85
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$7.00
Israel closes its airspace by June 10? · Yes0.0840.000$0.00$8.40
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$34.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 16:46US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?BUY0.46$92.46
08-07 16:45US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?BUY0.3$21.00
08-07 08:27US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0413218248$425.85
08-07 01:03Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?SELL0.16$190.72
08-07 01:02Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?SELL0.17$1.36
08-06 19:05Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?BUY0.16$123.23
08-06 18:36Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?SELL0.23$540.50
08-06 18:36Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?SELL0.11$253.25
08-05 02:07Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?SELL0.274$43.90
08-03 20:39US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.76468$71.69
08-02 02:40Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.11$110.55
08-02 02:27Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.39$546.00
07-31 23:52US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?SELL0.16$32.64
07-31 23:29US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$488.19
07-31 23:26Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?SELL0.14$252.00