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Traders

567689

0x82ab5f4ac05003b44b8a2b3afa9afdbb92e44f98

Realised P&L
$-58.45
Volume
$24.8k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$185.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 3-9? · No0.9980.998$185.53$0.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 13:51Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 3-9?BUY0.9979946237$185.63
07-02 11:04Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?BUY0.99$185.00
06-15 11:33Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?BUY0.994$184.00
06-08 11:47Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 8-14?BUY0.999$184.00
06-02 11:52Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 June 1-7?BUY0.997$179.46
05-25 13:28Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 25-31?BUY0.999$182.82
04-12 10:46Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.959$182.21
04-12 10:44Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.027$2.70
04-03 10:34Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.021$2.10
03-26 03:10Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)BUY0.9$1.00
03-25 01:37Hawks vs. PistonsBUY0.6$66.00
03-25 01:23Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.012$1.20
03-22 01:52Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.01$1.00
03-21 02:00Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.987$98.70
03-16 05:53Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.988$98.80