luptonj
0x829b138b6679b95d976aa6a55aa7e819f0e8a2e2
- Realised P&L
- $-3.68
- Volume
- $70.49
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $51.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? · No | 0.630 | 1.000 | $15.87 | +$5.87 |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30? · No | 0.963 | 1.000 | $15.57 | +$0.57 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · No | 0.840 | 1.000 | $11.90 | +$1.90 |
| Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.630 | $7.97 | −$2.03 |
| Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31? · No | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-27 20:23 | Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30? | BUY | 0.9633464777 | $15.00 |
| 05-27 20:15 | Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026? | BUY | 0.7904761205 | $10.00 |
| 05-27 20:02 | Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31? | BUY | 0.6899999393 | $10.00 |
| 05-27 20:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? | BUY | 0.6299999483 | $10.00 |
| 05-27 19:59 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999664 | $10.00 |