PolyBot

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Traders

0x81771d582ae390d496bc189d89afebaca1e56a9b

Realised P&L
$30.71
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$7.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 7? · Yes0.3060.145$7.04$7.81
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 7? · Yes0.0600.010$0.28$1.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 14:11Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 7?BUY0.06$1.71
08-06 14:10Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 7?BUY0.305880385$14.85
08-06 11:16Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 6?BUY0.3499998218$1.08
08-06 11:16Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 6?BUY0.2899999593$4.42
08-05 15:36Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 5?BUY0.0651951349$1.99
08-05 14:28Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 5?SELL0.02$0.42
08-05 14:28Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 5?SELL0.02$0.00
08-05 14:22Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 5?SELL0.003$0.04
08-05 14:09Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 5?SELL0.006$0.09
08-05 13:48Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 5?SELL0.18$1.88
08-05 12:14Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 5?BUY0.28$3.22
08-05 12:14Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 5?BUY0.2715661618$1.61
08-05 12:09Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 5?BUY0.0382406612$1.14
08-05 11:49Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 5?BUY0.2999998515$1.01
08-05 11:49Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 5?BUY0.2981643691$3.20