0x81572ad7620e96ca9965be01226a1b1dc71735d7
- Realised P&L
- $-4.54
- Volume
- $186.33
- Markets traded
- 144
- Open portfolio
- $2.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded144
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: IF Brommapojkarna (-2.5) · IK Sirius | 0.990 | 0.993 | $1.01 | +$0.00 |
| Exact Score: IK Sirius 1 - 3 IF Brommapojkarna? · No | 0.990 | 0.976 | $1.00 | −$0.01 |
| Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Morocco? · No | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.12 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia? · No | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.09 |
| Valur Reykjavik vs. Stjarnan Gardabae: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-1.5) · CA Talleres | 0.970 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.02 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · St. Louis Cardinals | 0.808 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
| Spread: Orgryte IS (-1.5) · AIK | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 England? · No | 0.982 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
| Exact Score: Club León FC 2 - 3 Atlas FC? · No | 0.983 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
| Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5) · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.02 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway? · No | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.36 |
| Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt? · No | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.44at 0.700Pozoblanco: Ivan Ivanov vs Oliver Crawford
- +$0.42at 0.710Brasov: Ognjen Milic vs Guido Justo
- +$0.37at 0.760United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5
- +$0.31at 0.930Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Mitchell Krueger
- +$0.23at 0.930New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 187.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 11:00 | Exact Score: IK Sirius 1 - 3 IF Brommapojkarna? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.01 |
| 08-04 11:00 | Exact Score: CA Unión 3 - 3 CA Lanús? | BUY | 0.9899990296 | $1.01 |
| 08-04 11:00 | Spread: IF Brommapojkarna (-2.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $1.01 |
| 08-03 23:35 | CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $1.01 |
| 08-03 23:35 | CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.98 | $1.01 |
| 08-03 23:35 | CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.98 | $1.01 |
| 08-03 20:59 | Valur Reykjavik vs. Stjarnan Gardabae: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 08:18 | Exact Score: Halmstads BK 0 - 0 IK Sirius? | BUY | 0.9649999818 | $1.06 |
| 08-02 05:46 | Exact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 1 - 3 Club Necaxa? | BUY | 0.9879994438 | $1.08 |
| 08-02 02:36 | Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.975 | $1.07 |
| 08-01 05:04 | Spread: Orgryte IS (-1.5) | BUY | 0.96 | $1.05 |
| 08-01 02:24 | Spread: Club Puebla (-1.5) | BUY | 0.9889999982 | $1.07 |
| 08-01 02:24 | Spread: Club Puebla (-1.5) | BUY | 0.9889999982 | $1.07 |
| 08-01 02:24 | Spread: Club Puebla (-1.5) | BUY | 0.9889999982 | $1.07 |
| 07-31 22:28 | Exact Score: New York City FC 0 - 0 Toronto FC? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.04 |