0x8085a4bed378477a42a6ab268202f07b31ca899f
- Realised P&L
- $4.04
- Volume
- $32.20
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $12.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.805 | $12.07 | +$3.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.74at 0.730Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
- +$0.22at 0.968US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 06:46 | Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | BUY | 0.6 | $9.00 |
| 03-31 22:46 | US strike on Mexico by March 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.22 |
| 03-17 09:09 | US strike on Mexico by March 31? | BUY | 0.968 | $7.00 |
| 03-17 09:04 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |