ShibuyaMisaki
0x7fe97b1f03d8a4d379acce12e727bd3971040269
- Realised P&L
- $-83.31
- Volume
- $15.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,431
- Open portfolio
- $10.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,431
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.32at 0.190Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
- +$11.61at 0.250Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
- +$10.22at 0.270Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
- +$9.92at 0.553Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
- +$7.78at 0.673Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 09:04 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-08 08:59 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.8899999892 | $4.94 |
| 08-08 08:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.52 |
| 08-08 08:30 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.10 |
| 08-08 08:24 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.9099999889 | $4.94 |
| 08-08 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.9299999962 | $4.94 |
| 08-08 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.94 |
| 08-08 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.95 |
| 08-08 07:37 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.95 |
| 08-08 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 8? | BUY | 0.8719998955 | $4.94 |
| 08-08 06:44 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.89 | $4.63 |
| 08-08 06:43 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.94 |
| 08-08 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.9699999961 | $4.95 |
| 08-08 04:55 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.94 |
| 08-08 04:29 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.9099999889 | $4.94 |