ivCrusher
0x7fc1f85283459713023634cf206d0bf0eddb90cf
- Realised P&L
- $-215.42
- Volume
- $7.0k
- Markets traded
- 430
- Open portfolio
- $19.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded430
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration3.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.03at 0.360Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 15?
- +$30.83at 0.380Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on July 16?
- +$29.56at 0.370Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 16?
- +$25.72at 0.430Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 16?
- +$25.63at 0.480Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 05:58 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 08-05 02:42 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 08-05 00:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 08-04 23:06 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-04 17:04 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 08-04 04:56 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 08-04 00:34 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.991 | $4.96 |
| 08-03 20:03 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-03 19:08 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 08-03 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on August 3? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 08-03 07:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.991 | $4.96 |
| 08-03 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 08-03 05:38 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 08-03 00:07 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 08-02 23:26 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.991 | $4.96 |