L3gion
0x7ed2a5c7baf139d96148851f5aef6ddb21db2b88
- Realised P&L
- $-545.84
- Volume
- $33.2k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $148.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.136 | $48.70 | +$18.70 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.090 | $32.95 | +$12.95 |
| Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.041 | $21.91 | +$1.91 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.261 | 0.188 | $21.59 | −$8.41 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.117 | $20.78 | −$9.22 |
| Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $2.18 | −$20.39 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.076 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$53.22 |
| Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30? · Yes | 0.481 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$680.42at 0.093Will the missing submarine be found by June 23?
- +$149.20at 0.167Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.06at 0.550Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?
- +$3.22at 0.480Super Bowl LIX Winner
- +$-4.00at 0.390US government shutdown Saturday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 22:44 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.579 | $69.37 |
| 05-26 08:36 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.107999973 | $3.22 |
| 05-19 07:52 | Trump out as President by June 30? | SELL | 0.013 | $2.11 |
| 05-15 20:13 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.94 |
| 05-10 18:16 | Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0069999973 | $2.57 |
| 05-10 18:14 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0749999987 | $50.00 |
| 04-16 07:47 | Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30? | BUY | 0.4899999774 | $9.58 |
| 04-16 07:47 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $9.44 |
| 04-14 10:23 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0849999928 | $10.00 |
| 04-14 10:22 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1719999884 | $10.00 |
| 04-14 10:20 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1719999884 | $10.00 |
| 04-14 10:19 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2749999828 | $10.00 |
| 04-13 02:18 | Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30? | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $9.54 |
| 04-13 02:17 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1769999859 | $10.00 |
| 04-09 21:13 | Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.005 | $10.00 |