Yourownreality
0x7ec3b4583c6a5b48e06cd1e9f45a686de85dd814
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $116.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,824
- Open portfolio
- $630.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,824
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$122.27at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
- +$99.30at 0.446Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
- +$74.86at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 10?
- +$74.02at 0.507Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9?
- +$72.35at 0.170Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 12:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 10? | BUY | 0.27 | $13.50 |
| 08-10 12:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 10? | BUY | 0.44 | $22.00 |
| 08-10 11:57 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.29 | $14.50 |
| 08-10 11:57 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.514 | $25.70 |
| 08-10 11:55 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 10? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 08-10 11:55 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 10? | BUY | 0.69 | $69.00 |
| 08-10 11:47 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on August 10? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 08-10 11:47 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on August 10? | BUY | 0.416849 | $41.68 |
| 08-10 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.86 | $25.80 |
| 08-10 11:39 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 10? | BUY | 0.33 | $16.50 |
| 08-10 11:39 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 10? | BUY | 0.52 | $26.00 |
| 08-10 11:38 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.7766666667 | $11.65 |
| 08-10 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.84 |
| 08-10 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-10 11:23 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |