Campds
0x7e4197467d819c79463e9ffbddf3873f2f2e1b9b
- Realised P&L
- $25.68
- Volume
- $18.4k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $10.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.425 | $10.63 | +$2.38 |
| Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16? · No | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.29 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? · No | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.47 |
| Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$398.07at 0.500Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$391.93at 0.500Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$361.61at 0.500Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$106.57at 0.500Will Yoo Seong-min be elected the next president of South Korea?
- +$44.77at 0.630LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 03:26 | Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.33 | $8.25 |
| 07-20 11:27 | Will Sabah FK win on 2026-07-21? | BUY | 0.59 | $15.46 |
| 07-10 08:21 | Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.21 | $5.04 |
| 06-29 08:15 | Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.998 | $783.21 |
| 06-29 08:15 | Will the price of XRP be less than $0.60 on June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 08:15 | Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.999 | $259.00 |
| 06-29 08:15 | Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.79 |
| 06-29 08:15 | Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.999 | $525.00 |
| 06-29 08:14 | Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $785.43 |
| 06-29 08:14 | Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.60 |
| 06-29 08:13 | Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.997 | $199.65 |
| 06-29 08:12 | Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.997 | $598.95 |
| 06-29 08:12 | Will the price of XRP be less than $0.60 on June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 06-23 02:46 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.994 | $727.61 |
| 06-23 02:46 | Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $45.10 |