islld
0x7e40a85793cac6d0d822e14da6689d717b7f40a5
- Realised P&L
- $-8.74
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 8? · Up | 0.216 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.27 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 10? · Down | 0.455 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.74 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6? · Up | 0.345 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.65 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 7? · Up | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.44 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 15? · Down | 0.187 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.16 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 14? · Down | 0.247 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.92 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8? · Down | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.84 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5? · Up | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.18 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13? · Up | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.77at 0.498S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 10?
- +$10.08at 0.640SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6?
- +$8.29at 0.741SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 14?
- +$7.02at 0.220SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$6.60at 0.772S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 11:50 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 7? | SELL | 0.29 | $13.05 |
| 08-07 11:50 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 7? | SELL | 0.67 | $18.76 |
| 08-07 11:39 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 7? | BUY | 0.68 | $4.76 |
| 08-07 11:37 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 7? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 08-07 11:37 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 7? | BUY | 0.68 | $4.76 |
| 08-07 11:36 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 7? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 08-07 11:36 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 7? | BUY | 0.68 | $4.76 |
| 08-07 11:33 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 7? | BUY | 0.67 | $4.69 |
| 08-07 11:33 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 7? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.24 |
| 08-07 11:20 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 7? | BUY | 0.3328571429 | $2.33 |
| 08-07 11:17 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 7? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.38 |
| 08-06 15:43 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.33 | $2.31 |
| 08-06 15:42 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.38 |
| 08-06 15:40 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.64 | $4.48 |
| 08-05 13:36 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.32 |