pippov3
0x7e0b43f17446baa2485b36a00dc6bf900ac5edba
- Realised P&L
- $-4.73
- Volume
- $107.41
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $1.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.150 | $0.75 | +$0.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.080 | $0.40 | +$0.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.187 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.06at 0.330Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 4?
- +$-0.25at 0.040Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 8?
- +$-0.50at 0.200Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 7?
- +$-0.74at 0.150Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 17:49 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.75 |
| 08-06 17:48 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 08-06 17:48 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 08-06 17:35 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 04:13 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.15 | $0.79 |
| 08-05 04:09 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 21:50 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.18 | $0.95 |
| 08-03 11:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.06 |
| 08-02 20:35 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |