quaorf
0x7e0849cfbbe2755b3b3e27782d0bdfa67d9e22c9
- Realised P&L
- $93.10
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $58.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No | 0.946 | 0.940 | $16.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? · No | 0.998 | 0.997 | $14.98 | −$0.01 |
| Will XRP reach $1.80 in August? · No | 0.997 | 0.984 | $14.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August 2026? · No | 0.990 | 0.986 | $11.95 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.82at 0.920Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September?
- +$17.87at 0.930Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in September?
- +$0.86at 0.960Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?
- +$0.83at 0.960Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?
- +$0.62at 0.988Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:21 | Will XRP reach $1.80 in August? | BUY | 0.997 | $15.00 |
| 08-03 03:20 | Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.00 |
| 08-03 03:19 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August 2026? | BUY | 0.989533269 | $12.00 |
| 08-03 03:19 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.9459999777 | $17.00 |
| 07-04 08:55 | Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July? | BUY | 0.9599999664 | $20.60 |
| 07-04 08:55 | Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $20.00 |
| 07-04 08:54 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $18.00 |
| 07-04 08:53 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.986 | $21.61 |
| 06-28 07:28 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9759999759 | $21.40 |
| 06-28 07:28 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.00 |
| 06-28 07:27 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.00 |
| 06-28 07:26 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? | SELL | 0.999 | $11.21 |
| 05-21 08:21 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.9919999159 | $10.00 |
| 05-21 08:20 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? | BUY | 0.9929242336 | $11.15 |
| 05-21 08:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | BUY | 0.9969999769 | $20.00 |