0x7D3e8164c0E39Cad7c720a9996D1390229573074-1754791225715
0x7d3e8164c0e39cad7c720a9996d1390229573074
- Realised P&L
- $241.59
- Volume
- $38.9k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.595 | 0.545 | $1.8k | −$169.24 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$987.48at 0.800Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$321.12at 0.752Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$153.12at 0.911Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?
- +$66.67at 0.600OpenAI browser by October 31?
- +$52.78at 0.993 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 13:41 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.1499711037 | $277.66 |
| 07-17 10:15 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.5036923612 | $1000.00 |
| 07-17 00:29 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.7407302722 | $400.00 |
| 07-17 00:25 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.7109171729 | $95.96 |
| 07-16 01:27 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8499999992 | $1000.00 |
| 06-29 07:28 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7278778494 | $1000.00 |
| 03-31 14:45 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $1000.00 |
| 03-31 14:37 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | SELL | 0.994 | $1.3k |
| 03-13 02:29 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.7523924098 | $1000.00 |
| 03-09 07:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 9? | BUY | 0.2434511637 | $100.00 |
| 03-09 07:18 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.3996007988 | $100.00 |
| 02-27 09:09 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | SELL | 0.9971467649 | $5.0k |
| 02-05 09:43 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.7120807716 | $2.0k |
| 01-28 03:06 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.9119604304 | $2.0k |
| 01-28 02:56 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.9699030097 | $1000.00 |