dfrhdthb
0x7cf10f20b8ca39e693f2e099a37daa160d5abba2
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $30.0k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $999.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.290 | $725.00 | −$125.00 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.915 | $274.50 | +$10.50 |
| Solana Up or Down on January 12? · Down | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$778.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.500Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on February 6?
- +$843.96at 0.740Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23?
- +$540.00at 0.500Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$480.00at 0.500Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$60.00at 0.500Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 03:21 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $850.00 |
| 05-22 02:27 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.928 | $417.60 |
| 05-04 01:20 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.391 | $2.0k |
| 04-27 06:21 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.608 | $165.87 |
| 03-24 06:25 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.83 | $177.81 |
| 03-10 08:03 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.8598889305 | $507.33 |
| 02-06 09:17 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on February 6? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.3k |
| 02-06 09:16 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on February 6? | BUY | 0.5 | $73.50 |
| 01-23 07:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | BUY | 0.74 | $2.4k |
| 01-12 07:40 | Solana Up or Down on January 12? | BUY | 0.26 | $778.96 |
| 12-31 08:07 | Aster all time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.9989999906 | $96.00 |