AmandaEvans5999
0x7cc71ad822525cbc08b7b34bad0427d275608211
- Realised P&L
- $339.00
- Volume
- $164.6k
- Markets traded
- 271
- Open portfolio
- $346.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded271
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$364.56at 0.510Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 16?
- +$328.30at 0.650Will Trump say "Greenland" during events with Rutte?
- +$291.20at 0.300Ethereum ETF Flows on February 17?
- +$278.32at 0.460Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 23, 2026?
- +$234.00at 0.500XRP Up or Down - February 12, 6AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 04:18 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $654.42 |
| 04-21 04:11 | SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? | SELL | 0.7 | $544.60 |
| 04-21 04:09 | SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? | SELL | 0.69 | $31.74 |
| 04-13 16:46 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $6.24 |
| 04-13 05:09 | Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $606.96 |
| 04-13 04:32 | Epic Games IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.8 | $360.00 |
| 04-13 02:03 | Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $606.96 |
| 04-13 00:19 | SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? | BUY | 0.81 | $667.44 |
| 04-13 00:06 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $626.78 |
| 04-12 21:19 | Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025? | SELL | 0.118 | $1.65 |
| 04-12 21:08 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $205.92 |
| 04-12 21:07 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $25.74 |
| 04-12 15:26 | Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 04-12 15:07 | Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30? | SELL | 0.77 | $111.65 |
| 04-11 09:00 | Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.178 | $34.71 |