hkg1sam
0x7c7dada5175d45bf59e333d7a2d8419869f04dea
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $711.1k
- Markets traded
- 505
- Open portfolio
- $202.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded505
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.499Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?
- +$759.78at 0.605Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?
- +$738.23at 0.975Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 9?
- +$670.75at 0.974Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?
- +$626.72at 0.524Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 09:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.22 |
| 08-05 08:16 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.86 |
| 08-05 06:39 | Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.028 | $14.00 |
| 08-05 06:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.027 | $0.48 |
| 08-05 06:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 06:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 06:34 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 08-05 06:34 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.04 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 06:27 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.057 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 06:27 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.10566 | $10.57 |
| 08-05 06:27 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0834069102 | $14.73 |
| 08-05 06:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.3 | $27.00 |
| 08-05 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0528272276 | $2.24 |
| 08-05 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.34 | $11.57 |
| 08-05 05:58 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.048 | $4.80 |