PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

Arepoz

0x7b86a99f2aba94728721b55de71484db56ca0e7a

Realised P&L
$-11.22
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$0.31

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.0170.003$0.18$0.83
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0190.003$0.13$0.87
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$1.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$0.45
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$1.00
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$0.60
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$1.50
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$2.00
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$1.00
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$1.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$0.37
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$1.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-16 19:10Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2899999275$2.00
06-16 19:09Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0179999825$1.00
06-16 19:07Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.1$1.00
06-16 19:07Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
06-16 19:06Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
06-16 19:06Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.16$1.00
04-09 19:13Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?SELL0.023$0.11
04-09 19:12Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?SELL0.023$1.24
04-09 08:46Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?SELL0.004$0.67
04-09 08:44Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?SELL0.003$0.60
04-08 08:21Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$1.50
04-07 19:38Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?BUY0.041$0.21
04-07 19:37Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?BUY0.04$0.39
04-07 19:33Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?BUY0.023$2.00
04-07 19:12Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?BUY0.032$1.39