0x7b843E4a2364d65883Bf2227C61FD8D30b1746A8-1785520970586
0x7b843e4a2364d65883bf2227c61fd8d30b1746a8
- Realised P&L
- $17.81
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $279.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on August 2? · Yes | 0.944 | 1.000 | $186.23 | +$10.41 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 31? · Yes | 0.914 | 1.000 | $44.42 | +$3.82 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.415 | 0.675 | $43.70 | +$16.79 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 7? · No | 0.556 | 0.998 | $2.50 | +$1.11 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 7? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.350 | $2.20 | −$0.06 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.375 | 0.325 | $0.60 | −$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.45at 0.921Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on August 1?
- +$2.15at 0.968Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 2?
- +$1.79at 0.421Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3?
- +$1.36at 0.945Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?
- +$0.74at 0.650Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 07:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.76 |
| 08-06 06:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.50 |
| 08-06 06:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 08-06 05:04 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.3599998629 | $1.05 |
| 08-06 03:56 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.3699999832 | $6.62 |
| 08-06 03:40 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.19 |
| 08-05 21:43 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.459999925 | $2.70 |
| 08-05 19:43 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.4899999115 | $1.44 |
| 08-05 19:28 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.39 | $0.49 |
| 08-05 19:25 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.39 | $0.16 |
| 08-05 19:17 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 08-05 19:17 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.29 | $0.46 |
| 08-05 19:16 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.37 | $0.17 |
| 08-05 19:16 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.4399999784 | $3.26 |
| 08-05 19:15 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.42 | $0.24 |