Thedevilwearsprada
0x7b7dbd08b05edb9e5b7a2c6702fa0e4b4d2f22c1
- Realised P&L
- $-292.50
- Volume
- $34.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,541
- Open portfolio
- $198.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,541
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.33at 0.599Will the price of Bitcoin be between $122,000 and $124,000 on October 8?
- +$72.65at 0.001Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5?
- +$67.88at 0.538Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
- +$53.10at 0.569Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
- +$40.05at 0.606Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:14 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | SELL | 0.971 | $19.42 |
| 08-03 05:31 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.08 |
| 08-03 05:31 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or below on August 3? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.05 |
| 08-03 05:27 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.52 |
| 08-03 05:24 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.58 |
| 08-03 05:24 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.05 |
| 08-03 05:21 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.55 | $8.24 |
| 08-03 03:15 | Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-2.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $13.99 |
| 08-02 16:39 | Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.58 | $23.92 |
| 08-02 14:50 | Legia Warszawa vs. Zaglebie Lubin: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-02 14:48 | Legia Warszawa vs. Zaglebie Lubin: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $11.99 |
| 08-02 13:21 | St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.61 | $9.67 |
| 08-02 13:10 | Legia Warszawa vs. Zaglebie Lubin: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 08-02 12:41 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.84 | $10.50 |
| 08-02 12:39 | Legia Warszawa vs. Zaglebie Lubin: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.88 | $10.56 |