0x7b60951e9Eb064BfB64b200c7AE2324e6D9965a2-1772560209969
0x7b60951e9eb064bfb64b200c7ae2324e6d9965a2
- Realised P&L
- $843.40
- Volume
- $67.1k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $2.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.215 | $2.15 | −$2.85 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 8? · No | 0.004 | 0.001 | $0.76 | −$5.45 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET · Up | 0.802 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.92 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET · Down | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.10 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.31 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · No | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$520.00 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.40 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? · No | 0.626 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$725.55at 0.812US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$148.09at 0.929Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 7?
- +$108.86at 0.700Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on March 23?
- +$74.44at 0.804Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
- +$58.76at 0.630Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 12:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.006 | $3.31 |
| 08-08 12:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.90 |
| 08-07 15:50 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.1k |
| 08-07 15:30 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 15:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 7? | SELL | 0.998669344 | $44.76 |
| 08-07 15:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 7? | SELL | 0.998 | $13.84 |
| 08-07 15:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 8? | SELL | 0.91 | $409.50 |
| 08-07 14:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 7? | SELL | 0.971 | $145.64 |
| 08-07 13:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.929 | $2.2k |
| 08-07 13:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.927 | $18.53 |
| 08-07 13:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.924 | $8.14 |
| 08-07 13:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.82 | $41.00 |
| 08-07 05:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 7? | SELL | 0.69 | $169.22 |
| 08-07 05:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 7? | SELL | 0.69 | $169.22 |
| 08-07 05:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 7? | SELL | 0.69 | $338.44 |