polss
0x7b23c2f11a7918f81579b51251b325a7909b515b
- Realised P&L
- $-125.48
- Volume
- $20.1k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $74.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,500 August 3-9? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $20.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.924 | 0.766 | $19.04 | −$3.91 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $900 in August? · No | 0.997 | 0.998 | $18.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $16.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.991 | 0.991 | $1.22 | −$0.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.85 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? · No | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.63at 0.640Rockets vs. Pistons
- +$4.92at 0.740Blues vs. Oilers
- +$4.49at 0.779Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$4.38at 0.590Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$3.29at 0.770Kings vs. Cavaliers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 03:44 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.00 |
| 08-05 03:43 | Will Ethereum dip to $900 in August? | BUY | 0.9969999714 | $18.00 |
| 08-05 03:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.00 |
| 07-22 04:58 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 04:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 07-22 04:57 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.00 |
| 07-22 04:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | BUY | 0.9979999455 | $16.00 |
| 07-11 02:54 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5799999974 | $90.85 |
| 06-20 03:32 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.989999919 | $11.00 |
| 06-20 03:31 | Will Microsoft have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 06-20 03:31 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 06-20 03:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | SELL | 0.997 | $13.78 |
| 06-20 03:25 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.00 |
| 06-20 03:25 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9979999455 | $16.00 |
| 06-20 03:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9979999413 | $15.00 |