WildOats99
0x7af6fc2b433903e7c95e43637f6c11ab849c16e0
- Realised P&L
- $-23.91
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $4.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.033 | $2.78 | +$1.94 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.115 | $1.03 | −$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 7? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.012 | $0.89 | +$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.52at 0.190Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 27?
- +$4.31at 0.310Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 27?
- +$4.25at 0.320Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 27?
- +$1.02at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 27?
- +$0.74at 0.580Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 01:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.08 |
| 08-05 21:11 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 6? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.43 |
| 08-05 21:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 6? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.11 |
| 08-05 19:11 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.77 |
| 08-05 19:08 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.98 |
| 08-05 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.50 |
| 08-05 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.28 |
| 08-05 13:11 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.36 |
| 08-05 08:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 96-97°F on August 6? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.11 |
| 08-05 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 08-05 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.02 |
| 08-05 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.36 |
| 08-05 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 96-97°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.14 |
| 08-05 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.65 |
| 08-05 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0569173859 | $0.92 |