0x79f41cd9a28198dec82797e4f29ab10d3f50df03
- Realised P&L
- $-2.31
- Volume
- $47.5k
- Markets traded
- 527
- Open portfolio
- $17.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded527
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$210.51at 0.264Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
- +$181.98at 0.026Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$133.91at 0.481Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
- +$105.58at 0.029US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$84.85at 0.423Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 02:01 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on April 28? | BUY | 0.9945027448 | $19.99 |
| 04-27 01:33 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on April 28? | BUY | 0.2199999531 | $2.77 |
| 04-27 01:16 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 28? | BUY | 0.995 | $19.99 |
| 04-27 01:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on April 28? | BUY | 0.995 | $19.99 |
| 04-27 01:16 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on April 28? | BUY | 0.9941241761 | $19.99 |
| 04-27 00:20 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on April 28? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $19.99 |
| 04-27 00:18 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on April 28? | BUY | 0.9889999997 | $19.98 |
| 04-27 00:15 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on April 28? | BUY | 0.1066165052 | $2.73 |
| 04-27 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28? | BUY | 0.034290716 | $2.71 |
| 04-27 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 28? | BUY | 0.9889999997 | $19.98 |
| 04-27 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C or higher on April 27? | BUY | 0.993 | $19.99 |
| 04-27 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on April 28? | BUY | 0.9859999996 | $19.97 |
| 04-26 23:58 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 28? | BUY | 0.033942411 | $2.71 |
| 04-26 23:45 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C or higher on April 28? | BUY | 0.992 | $19.98 |
| 04-26 23:38 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 27? | BUY | 0.9799999804 | $11.96 |