Pragin
0x78b720d615b4ca7977b8b79a8ce1601d04ef7ce4
- Realised P&L
- $0.45
- Volume
- $3.44
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $3.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration57.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No | 0.981 | 0.980 | $1.93 | −$0.00 |
| Will Russia target Kyiv by August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.990 | $1.46 | +$0.46 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 12:02 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.9809999959 | $1.93 |
| 08-04 11:09 | Will Russia target Kyiv by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |