0x7863CdA3AFcB0df325ef0067864AC57D821EFFdD-1784794947851
0x7863cda3afcb0df325ef0067864ac57d821effdd
- Realised P&L
- $383.53
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $426.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.075 | $222.32 | +$22.32 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 7? · Up | 0.709 | 0.780 | $110.00 | +$10.00 |
| Will Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.115 | $96.06 | −$3.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$213.62at 0.575Will Rodri join Barcelona?
- +$76.30at 0.700Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?
- +$56.69at 0.789Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
- +$35.97at 0.720Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
- +$-1.22at 0.730Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 10:25 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 7? | BUY | 0.7091053059 | $100.00 |
| 08-07 08:11 | Will Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.1197172747 | $100.00 |
| 08-07 07:49 | Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.0674712124 | $200.00 |
| 08-06 14:09 | Will Rodri join Barcelona? | SELL | 0.8000316362 | $758.65 |
| 08-06 13:43 | Will Rodri join Barcelona? | BUY | 0.5747646157 | $545.04 |
| 08-06 13:40 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.8972088334 | $471.69 |
| 08-05 18:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $83.95 |
| 08-05 04:21 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.8099999933 | $85.00 |
| 08-04 15:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | SELL | 0.72 | $87.96 |
| 08-04 14:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.7299999989 | $89.19 |
| 08-04 05:39 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | SELL | 0.73 | $87.62 |
| 08-03 00:21 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.7893732548 | $415.00 |
| 08-02 17:33 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.65 | $194.03 |
| 08-02 17:28 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $200.00 |
| 08-02 05:29 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.979 | $135.96 |