Danny456
0x77da02a36c9fe127eb206b2aaa28d8d878f32fd0
- Realised P&L
- $16.58
- Volume
- $10.7k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $134.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $900 in August? · No | 0.996 | 0.998 | $134.66 | +$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.00at 0.500Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$1.85at 0.986USDT depeg in 2025?
- +$1.38at 0.988Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
- +$1.31at 0.605Will Baylor beat TCU?
- +$0.92at 0.993Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 16:18 | Will Ethereum dip to $900 in August? | BUY | 0.996 | $134.46 |
| 07-07 15:48 | Will Solana dip to $10 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $134.87 |
| 07-07 15:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July? | BUY | 0.9750888889 | $131.64 |
| 07-07 15:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July? | BUY | 0.975 | $127.72 |
| 07-07 15:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July? | BUY | 0.975 | $131.63 |
| 07-07 13:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July? | BUY | 0.975 | $131.63 |
| 07-07 12:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July? | BUY | 0.975 | $132.60 |
| 07-07 12:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July? | BUY | 0.975 | $132.60 |
| 07-06 16:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $37,500 in July? | BUY | 0.997 | $135.59 |
| 07-06 16:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $37,500 in July? | BUY | 0.997 | $135.59 |
| 07-06 15:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $37,500 in July? | BUY | 0.997 | $135.59 |
| 07-06 15:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $37,500 in July? | BUY | 0.997 | $135.59 |
| 07-06 11:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $135.73 |
| 07-06 11:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $135.73 |
| 07-06 11:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $135.73 |