frank0618
0x7741af3ec8edfded7649061ddfde10ace70b2c46
- Realised P&L
- $-184.67
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 600
- Open portfolio
- $16.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded600
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.635 | $3.40 | +$0.40 |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No | 0.885 | 0.951 | $2.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? · No | 0.850 | 0.870 | $2.06 | +$0.05 |
| Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No | 0.930 | 0.945 | $1.51 | +$0.02 |
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.946 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No | 0.860 | 0.931 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · No | 0.830 | 0.875 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No | 0.900 | 0.935 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Egypt join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No | 0.860 | 0.886 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.930 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No | 0.900 | 0.914 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.56at 0.162Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$33.86at 0.413Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
- +$18.40at 0.574Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
- +$14.23at 0.260Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?
- +$12.19at 0.240Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 09:12 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0579999865 | $4.00 |
| 06-26 09:11 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 06-26 09:11 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1479999921 | $15.00 |
| 06-26 09:11 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1899999939 | $20.00 |
| 06-20 20:43 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | SELL | 0.62 | $9.99 |
| 06-20 20:42 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.196 | $14.13 |
| 06-20 20:42 | Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage | SELL | 0.54 | $3.46 |
| 06-20 19:32 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs | BUY | 0.6099999927 | $20.00 |
| 06-20 18:17 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 06-20 08:28 | Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | BUY | 0.3519999656 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 08:28 | Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | BUY | 0.3519999885 | $10.00 |
| 06-20 08:27 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs | BUY | 0.5699999926 | $20.00 |
| 06-19 16:57 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $10.00 |
| 06-19 16:57 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.184 | $13.26 |
| 06-19 14:45 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |