PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Arale49

0x7701d9da3bd9d47af7f11869500aeb209c836be6

Realised P&L
$-55.47
Volume
$7.2k
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$8.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0940.135$2.86+$0.86
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$2.25$0.75
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2380.278$2.01+$0.29
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.4700.255$0.54$0.46
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2200.095$0.43$0.57
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1400.032$0.23$0.77
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6260.000$0.00$5.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$2.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$2.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00$1.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$3.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5760.000$0.00$20.00
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in March 2026? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$3.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3050.000$0.00$30.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 01:16Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.002$1.00
07-24 01:16Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.28$1.00
07-19 01:39Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4099998237$1.00
07-19 01:38Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.279$1.23
07-19 01:37Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0729999872$5.00
07-19 01:33Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.409$5.99
07-15 21:22Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4199999953$24.87
07-14 20:54England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4624999946$11.87
07-14 20:52Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.197$10.11
07-14 20:48Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.65$2.09
07-12 00:00Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5749999952$15.00
07-10 18:37Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.179999958$3.00
07-08 15:28Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5799999954$5.00
07-08 15:27Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.1399999627$3.00
07-07 20:05Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceBUY0.619999969$4.00