mhsgls
0x76d997ee8ab961376a90dfd35a6c722c9b31dfbc
- Realised P&L
- $110.22
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $54.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.42at 0.120Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?
- +$44.17at 0.334Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?
- +$27.50at 0.425Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?
- +$21.74at 0.479Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4?
- +$21.67at 0.403Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 17:46 | Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5499999587 | $4.00 |
| 08-05 17:43 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 182.5 | BUY | 0.5299999947 | $4.00 |
| 08-05 17:43 | Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 182.5 | BUY | 0.5199999844 | $4.00 |
| 08-05 17:14 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.54 | $10.61 |
| 08-05 14:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 12:44 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.7399999954 | $3.20 |
| 08-05 11:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 11:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.6999999278 | $1.94 |
| 08-05 11:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.2027768313 | $2.38 |
| 08-05 10:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.559999977 | $4.86 |
| 08-05 10:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.5099998998 | $2.29 |
| 08-05 10:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 10:24 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.3823528962 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 06:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.601577891 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 06:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.2329726027 | $3.40 |