Haggaifd
0x7605283088c99999b15b01f81596660e1f047138
- Realised P&L
- $57.57
- Volume
- $18.6k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $15.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5? · Up | 0.760 | 0.740 | $15.54 | −$0.42 |
| Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.55 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17? · No | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.44 |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres · Sabres | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.73 |
| Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$438.24at 0.500Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?
- +$430.65at 0.500Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$123.72at 0.530Will AZ win on 2026-04-16?
- +$99.40at 0.500Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?
- +$98.82at 0.500Will Erling Haaland win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 11:37 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.76 | $15.96 |
| 07-23 02:22 | Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.59 | $41.89 |
| 07-23 02:22 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia? | SELL | 0.998 | $29.97 |
| 07-23 02:20 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.00 |
| 07-06 07:30 | Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.31 | $20.55 |
| 06-22 09:43 | Spread: Algeria (-1.5) | BUY | 0.63 | $39.68 |
| 06-22 09:41 | Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $35.96 |
| 06-22 09:41 | Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.00 |
| 05-27 02:35 | Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $22.97 |
| 05-27 02:35 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.58 | $15.31 |
| 05-27 02:31 | Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $23.00 |
| 05-14 06:30 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17? | BUY | 0.68 | $22.44 |
| 05-14 03:22 | LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | BUY | 0.57 | $8.83 |
| 05-14 03:21 | Canadiens vs. Sabres | BUY | 0.52 | $13.73 |
| 04-24 07:49 | Will Ethereum dip to $600 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |