NabFire11
0x75de4e9b93fdf60bd9175694f6ed108b5acd98c0
- Realised P&L
- $-4.0k
- Volume
- $214.6k
- Markets traded
- 486
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded486
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$329.68at 0.676Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
- +$239.47at 0.807Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
- +$217.16at 0.420Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
- +$181.18at 0.845Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
- +$167.84at 0.856Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 11:29 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.967 | $800.00 |
| 08-02 11:28 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.9588106684 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 11:27 | Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.9860852373 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 11:27 | Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 11:27 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.9442213615 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 22:58 | Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9691034625 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 22:57 | Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.951239008 | $30.00 |
| 07-31 22:56 | Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9712705242 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 22:56 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $242.98 |
| 07-31 22:56 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $319.44 |
| 07-28 19:46 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9229238741 | $113.50 |
| 07-28 19:45 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9972821073 | $114.15 |
| 07-28 19:40 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $218.90 |
| 07-28 19:40 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.9381870921 | $300.00 |
| 07-28 15:32 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.991 | $520.51 |