0x753d576996FC4850E57592d67AE8E086A01D1402-1734251680576
0x753d576996fc4850e57592d67ae8e086a01d1402
- Realised P&L
- $18.42
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $41.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 10? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.999 | $41.82 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.91at 0.660Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
- +$0.59at 0.994Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
- +$0.20at 0.998Will Alibaba have the top AI model on August 31?
- +$0.18at 0.993Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$0.18at 0.993Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 05:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.9979999888 | $41.80 |
| 04-29 07:39 | Will Solana reach $100 in April? | BUY | 0.997 | $24.00 |
| 04-27 14:40 | Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.00 |
| 04-27 07:32 | Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9949999932 | $26.50 |
| 04-27 07:07 | Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.00 |
| 04-26 09:20 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 April 20-26? | BUY | 0.9969999968 | $26.90 |
| 04-26 07:18 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 26? | BUY | 0.9949999734 | $9.89 |
| 04-25 20:19 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.00 |
| 04-25 02:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26? | BUY | 0.995 | $14.07 |
| 04-24 13:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 26? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.99 |
| 04-24 08:45 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 24? | BUY | 0.9979999819 | $23.09 |
| 04-23 14:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 23? | BUY | 0.9969999361 | $13.19 |
| 04-22 19:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 25? | BUY | 0.998 | $25.99 |
| 04-22 10:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $82,000 on April 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.99 |
| 04-22 01:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 23? | BUY | 0.9929999703 | $25.57 |