PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

FarseerProphecies

0x746fb1be8434cfa4398c124aeff69f034e3e566d

Realised P&L
$-39.0k
Volume
$2.81M
Markets traded
108
Open portfolio
$6.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded108
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2470.205$6.4k$1.3k
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.0610.021$546.40$1.0k
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? · No0.0020.000$0.00$50.77
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$894.07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$42.02
Iran leadership change by April 30? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00$4.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 21:05Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.003$2.44
07-26 22:06Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?SELL0.003$3.51
07-25 21:32Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?SELL0.0068194083$40.92
07-25 03:47Israel closes its airspace by July 24?SELL0.001$0.01
07-25 03:46Israel closes its airspace by July 24?SELL0.001$2.16
07-25 02:23Israel closes its airspace by July 24?SELL0.012$142.32
07-24 18:20Israel closes its airspace by July 24?BUY0.033$28.38
07-24 18:19Israel closes its airspace by July 24?BUY0.03290041$263.20
07-23 22:15Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?SELL0.033$343.20
07-23 16:39Israel closes its airspace by July 24?BUY0.07$182.00
07-23 16:37Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.3$150.00
07-20 22:26Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.022$13.20
07-20 17:42Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.139$13.90
07-20 17:40Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.024$6.86
07-19 08:28US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 19?SELL0.0130282848$6.82