0x7447D1c89A96648DfEd8867726E96dDeB3b0bdEd-1771872619542
0x7447d1c89a96648dfed8867726e96ddeb3b0bded
- Realised P&L
- $-0.06
- Volume
- $26.0k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $15.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 9? · No | 0.997 | 0.999 | $15.98 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.28at 0.977Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?
- +$0.06at 0.994Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on April 27?
- +$0.06at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 14?
- +$0.05at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 7?
- +$0.05at 0.996Will the price of Solana be above $40 on March 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 03:00 | Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.08 |
| 06-24 07:51 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.68 |
| 05-15 03:00 | Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.72 |
| 05-08 11:18 | Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.99 |
| 05-08 11:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $17.98 |
| 04-25 04:47 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.81 |
| 04-23 08:40 | Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.009 | $10.17 |
| 04-22 09:33 | Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.10 |
| 04-21 09:46 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.009 | $10.17 |
| 04-20 07:28 | Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.08 |
| 03-28 09:16 | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.987 | $639.58 |