0x7331c954736f53F7691635b7af77f92f5046BC39-1770386479148
0x7331c954736f53f7691635b7af77f92f5046bc39
- Realised P&L
- $419.40
- Volume
- $105.7k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $99.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$300.81at 0.288Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?
- +$283.71at 0.257Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?
- +$257.81at 0.137Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3?
- +$187.36at 0.158Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?
- +$130.86at 0.450Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 15:33 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.8 | $80.00 |
| 08-06 15:32 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.8 | $6.40 |
| 08-06 15:32 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.8 | $6.40 |
| 08-06 15:31 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 08-06 15:30 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 08-06 15:29 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.78 | $15.60 |
| 08-06 15:27 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.78 | $12.48 |
| 08-06 15:27 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.78 | $12.48 |
| 08-06 15:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.57 | $8.55 |
| 08-06 15:09 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.57 | $39.90 |
| 08-06 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 08-06 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 08-06 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.5968846816 | $13.87 |
| 08-06 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.59 | $10.61 |
| 08-06 14:45 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.5160044444 | $23.22 |