duong12asda
0x7299ae9b24c3860861657a1dc7221abb207e4041
- Realised P&L
- $662.32
- Volume
- $29.8k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $13.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 9? · No | 0.997 | 0.999 | $13.99 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$662.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6AM ET
- +$206.00at 0.500Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on April 1?
- +$0.12at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 7?
- +$0.07at 0.960Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$0.04at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:49 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.003 | $4.77 |
| 07-08 03:54 | Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.01 |
| 06-18 08:47 | Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.04 |
| 05-14 07:30 | Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.92 |
| 05-08 07:32 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.81 |
| 04-14 05:08 | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $9.79 |
| 04-10 08:46 | Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.60 |
| 04-09 03:26 | Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.006 | $8.16 |
| 04-01 04:10 | Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $9.94 |
| 03-13 04:24 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai? | SELL | 0.99 | $641.52 |
| 03-12 10:19 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai? | BUY | 0.99 | $641.52 |
| 02-27 22:48 | Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.966 | $11.05 |
| 02-11 17:49 | Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.96 | $10.99 |