frosttt
0x713a819a1e413a14f3229003e0476eb2a9e0a64b
- Realised P&L
- $-99.11
- Volume
- $11.0k
- Markets traded
- 207
- Open portfolio
- $3.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded207
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.105 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Team Liquid Win The International 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.065 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
| Will Nigma Galaxy Win The International 2026? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.018 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
| Will OG Win The International 2026? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.008 | $0.67 | −$0.33 |
| Will LGD Gaming Win The International 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.030 | $0.60 | −$0.40 |
| Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5) · T1 | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Conor McGregor | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs · Team Secret Whales | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.74at 0.606Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?
- +$17.12at 0.830Will Team Falcons win The International 2025 Tournament?
- +$16.15at 0.479Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
- +$13.31at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
- +$13.26at 0.090Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 17:55 | Will Nigma Galaxy Win The International 2026? | BUY | 0.0262135661 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 17:53 | Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 17:53 | Will Team Liquid Win The International 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 17:49 | Will LGD Gaming Win The International 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 17:49 | Will OG Win The International 2026? | BUY | 0.011999988 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 18:53 | Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.3099999525 | $3.20 |
| 07-16 18:51 | Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.1899999373 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 17:01 | Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival | BUY | 0.5 | $5.20 |
| 07-14 17:00 | Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 21:38 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 21:36 | UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 03:29 | LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 03:27 | Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5) | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 00:14 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 12:26 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |