0x71118257eb068014d227a56c46ef52cb03b17c21
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $98.8k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $658.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$423.52at 0.698Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?
- +$296.26at 0.754Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?
- +$251.04at 0.781Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
- +$202.47at 0.648Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?
- +$188.79at 0.080Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 09:06 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.5040948853 | $35.00 |
| 08-08 09:06 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.5299999946 | $40.00 |
| 08-08 09:06 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.5386533623 | $40.00 |
| 08-08 09:05 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.4790419162 | $40.00 |
| 08-08 09:04 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.5286783005 | $40.00 |
| 08-08 08:57 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.98 | $0.11 |
| 08-08 08:12 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.437484459 | $40.00 |
| 08-08 08:11 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.3994557416 | $40.00 |
| 08-08 08:11 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.4399999982 | $40.00 |
| 08-08 08:11 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.5599458062 | $40.00 |
| 08-08 08:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.6360248447 | $40.00 |
| 08-08 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.648702594 | $40.00 |
| 08-08 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.6029902377 | $40.00 |
| 08-08 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.6365091843 | $40.00 |
| 08-08 08:09 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.4732817653 | $40.00 |