tsma
0x70affb3bcd7d6c0920aa9019146e71d34a9226fd
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $355.9k
- Markets traded
- 197
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded197
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.2kat 0.579Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$3.4kat 0.290Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-19?
- +$1.2kat 0.287Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-10?
- +$1.1kat 0.469Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?
- +$1.1kat 0.320Will Brazil win on 2025-10-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 07:34 | Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.5199999997 | $450.00 |
| 08-08 07:34 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.4799999998 | $500.00 |
| 08-08 07:34 | Will Inter Milano win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.4099999996 | $500.00 |
| 08-07 02:28 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.348695802 | $500.00 |
| 08-07 02:27 | Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.5127092739 | $500.00 |
| 07-29 14:15 | Will Atletico Madrid win on 2026-07-29? | BUY | 0.5102390483 | $789.45 |
| 07-12 14:03 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.2 | $718.06 |
| 07-12 14:02 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3799999997 | $500.00 |
| 07-12 14:02 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4199999997 | $500.00 |
| 07-07 11:46 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.1499999994 | $200.00 |
| 07-07 11:46 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.0899999996 | $200.00 |
| 07-07 11:45 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5199999998 | $500.00 |
| 07-07 03:15 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.4199999997 | $500.00 |
| 07-06 03:06 | Will England win on 2026-07-05? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.2k |
| 07-04 15:28 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.24 | $473.79 |