hgsui
0x709988b3532c9a99fd6cf58c848c405f44ed7646
- Realised P&L
- $-758.24
- Volume
- $23.1k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $9.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$471.67at 0.292US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$320.92at 0.150US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
- +$205.30at 0.300Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?
- +$172.83at 0.343Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?
- +$122.00at 0.450US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 23:45 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31? | BUY | 0.0836226013 | $23.92 |
| 07-31 23:42 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 23:42 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31? | BUY | 0.0819999928 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 23:42 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 500m and 600m by August 31? | BUY | 0.0413334691 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 23:39 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 400m and 500m by August 31? | BUY | 0.0253874411 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 23:38 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 500m and 600m by August 31? | BUY | 0.0224602886 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 23:38 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31? | BUY | 0.1801883766 | $25.00 |
| 07-31 23:36 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31? | BUY | 0.0946181213 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 23:34 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31? | BUY | 0.1165792289 | $30.00 |
| 07-31 23:34 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 500m and 600m by August 31? | BUY | 0.0197426093 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 23:33 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31? | BUY | 0.0793297497 | $50.00 |
| 04-28 15:56 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $197.91 |
| 04-28 15:55 | Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month? | SELL | 0.8660124434 | $199.04 |
| 04-28 14:45 | Aix en Provence: Daniel Jade vs Martin Landaluce | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 04-28 14:42 | Aix en Provence: Daniel Jade vs Martin Landaluce | BUY | 0.1936117865 | $20.00 |