0x703dfe5ddcf31c32e3098b2ed27e25e39bd1f911
- Realised P&L
- $-0.44
- Volume
- $53.36
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $15.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $163 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.935 | $2.92 | +$0.83 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No | 0.650 | 0.815 | $2.62 | +$0.53 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.930 | $2.43 | +$0.34 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.625 | $2.18 | +$0.09 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.675 | $1.76 | −$0.33 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No | 0.210 | 0.175 | $1.74 | −$0.35 |
| Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.640 | 0.505 | $1.65 | −$0.44 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · No | 0.400 | 0.008 | $0.04 | −$2.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.10at 0.640Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
- +$-0.03at 0.510New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
- +$-0.03at 0.510Another pandemic before GTA VI?
- +$-0.04at 0.510Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 09:35 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.2099999407 | $2.09 |
| 08-04 01:35 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.09 |
| 08-03 17:32 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $163 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $2.09 |
| 08-03 09:29 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.09 |
| 08-02 23:17 | Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.09 |
| 08-02 08:01 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5999999426 | $2.09 |
| 08-01 23:37 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.6499999067 | $2.09 |
| 08-01 15:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.09 |
| 08-01 04:19 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999281 | $1.56 |
| 07-31 20:19 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999281 | $1.56 |
| 07-31 12:18 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-30 01:16 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-29 13:09 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.95 |
| 07-28 20:45 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |